Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Morocco: An Approach to Structural VAR

Tlaytmaste Bahaddi, Mohamed Karim

Abstract


This article evaluates the short-term macroeconomic effectiveness of a structural rise in public spending in Morocco through a Structural Vector Autoregressive Model (SVAR) inspired by the approach of Blanchard and Perotti (2002).

The response of the real economic activity following a structural rise of the public spending is small and significant only in the very short term. The evaluation of transmission channels reveals, moreover, a deterioration of the trade balance and a depreciation of the real effective exchange rate. Finally, the results of the estimation concluded that discretionary fiscal shocks have a Keynesian effect on the level of activity.


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.11114/aef.v5i1.2874

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Applied Economics and Finance    ISSN 2332-7294 (Print)   ISSN 2332-7308 (Online)

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